Thursday, June 30, 2011

It’s Time for a Full Employment Program


This article has right goal,  but terrible policies.  Raising taxes and spending is suicide.  Raise tariffs, end outsourcing, offshoring and illegal immigration, and the problems will melt away.   Yes, it really is that simple!---rng


from thefairsociety.net

Monday, June 6, 2011



OK all you anti-government libertarians, here’s the dilemma. It’s all well and good to rely on the private sector to provide the jobs, and the income that everyone needs after all to meet their basic needs. But what if the private sector is coming up short – way short?

In fact, some 16 percent of our potential workforce are now unemployed, or under-employed part-timers, or never-employed, some 25 million of us altogether. We are told that there is currently one job opening available for every five job-seekers, half of whom have been unemployed for more than six months.

Republicans with a not-so-hidden agenda tell us that if we cut taxes and government spending, this will solve the problem. We call this chicken poop on our farm, or horse poop. Cutting government spending means cutting jobs – lots of them – and cutting taxes for the wealthy to create jobs has been tried twice before and it didn’t work. Why should it work better this time, in an era of near-record corporate profits, with banks and large companies sitting on cash hordes and investors flocking to put their savings from the Bush era tax cuts into emerging markets? Our income tax burden, already the lowest in the industrialized world, is not the problem.

The root of the problem is weak domestic demand in a seriously wounded economy, with the housing bust still dragging down the private sector rather than leading us out of the recession, as in the past. The only way out of this bind is to give the middle class and the poor more income to spend. And if the private sector can’t do the job, we need to begin looking for another alternative. Otherwise we risk long-term economic stagnation coupled with desperate poverty and even starvation. We have to take collective responsibility for this life-and-death dilemma or we will no longer deserve to be called a nation; we will have become a gladiatorial arena in which the losers go to the wall. “Survival of the fittest.”

You may need to hold your nose, but the obvious solution is something that has never een tried,even though the idea has been around ever since the Employment Act of 1946. Let the government be the backstop, the “employer of last resort,” whose role would wax and wane with the need to take up the slack in private sector job-creation.

One successful precedent is the jobs programs in the New Deal era, such as the Works Progress Administration (WPA) that focused on infrastructure improvements and the Civilian Conservation Corps (CCC) that built much of the infrastructure in our national parks. Some of the techniques used in those days, like requiring the workers to send most of their earnings home to their families, would help to spread the economic benefits today as well.

Who is going to pay for this? Let’s start with the bankers who got us into this mess then got away scot free and are now enriching themselves again with million-dollar bonuses while furiously lobbying to make the Bush-era tax cuts permanent. Or how about those corporate CEO’s whose compensation packages now average some 320 times that of their workers (compared with 20 times as much in the 1950s)?

There is no lack of useful jobs that could be created – starting with re-hiring laid off teachers and health care workers. What is lacking is the vision and the will.

for original article and web site:

Saturday, June 25, 2011

Your future and your children's future


Heads up, everybody.  The following is your future and your children's future and your country's future.  When you don't have a full employment policy to push wages up, you end up with McCrap jobs as a primary employer.  This is not hard---a surplus of any commodity, including labor, results in lowering of the price of the commodity.  Inflation is a surplus in the supply of money, and falling wages represents a surplus in supply of labor.  Instead of cutting your Social Security and other obligations, the legislators need to cut the supply of labor, i.e.. end outsourcing, offshoring, and illegal immigration.  Do you hear anybody, anybody at all, among the talking heads talking about that?  No, it's all smoke and mirrors, about how much are they going to cut and how much are they going to tax.  When you have full employment, and a stable money supply, you have the best of both worlds, rising wages and an expanded tax base, while at the same time, you don't need as much spending on poverty programs.---rng

     I don't think is what we expected for an economic recovery.
  ------lee     

Updated: Monday, 30 May 2011, 2:42 PM EDT
Published : Monday, 30 May 2011, 2:42 PM EDT

     (NewsCore) - WASHINGTON -- For more than two decades, the term "McJob" has been used as code word for low-paying, low-skilled employment.
      But the May payrolls report, due Friday from the Labor Department, likely will be influenced by hiring from McDonald's.
      On April 19 — about a week after the government conducted its survey for the April jobs report — the hamburger chain ran a promotion designed to hire 50,000 workers. In fact, the fast food giant hired 62,000, most of whom will receive just little above the federal minimum wage.
      Given that economists polled by MarketWatch expect May payrolls to slow to 180,000 from 244,000 in April, there is a possibility that McJobs will account for a big slice of the jobs created by the US economy during the month.
      Repeated messages left with McDonald's were not returned.
      Morgan Stanley economists estimate the McJobs effect at between 25,000 and 30,000 — and also noted that flooding in the Southeast may have subtracted a similar number of jobs.
      Economists also expect a slight improvement in the unemployment rate, to 8.9 percent from 9.0 percent in April.

Sunday, June 19, 2011

What’s So Great About Skilled Immigration When U.S. Grads Can’t Find Jobs?

from vdare.com
June 12, 2011

By Donald A. Collins 




Eventually, the facts get so compelling that even the Lamestream Media finds itself reporting them.
Perfect example: last week’s Page One left column story in the Washington Post headlined Foreign labor’s skill level on rise–Better-educated immigrant workforce shows economic shift. [VDARE.com note:the web version is called Report documents dramatic shift in immigrant workforce’s skill level, By Tara Bahrampour, June 9, 2011, and contains a few hyperlinks, almost as if the Post was trying to catch up to what VDARE.com has been doing for ten years; but not, oddly enough, a link to, or citation for, the actual Brookings report The Geography of Immigrant Skills: Educational Profiles of Metropolitan Areas.]
The WaPo story began:
“Highly skilled temporary and permanent immigrants in the United States now outnumber lower-skilled ones, marking a dramatic shift in the foreign-born workforce that could have profound political and economic implications in the national debate over immigration.
“This shift in America’s immigration population, based on census data, is summarized in a report released Thursday by the Brookings Institution. It found that 30 percent of the country’s working-age immigrants, regardless of legal status, have at least a bachelor’s degree, while 28 percent lack a high school diploma. The shift had been in the works for the past three decades, a period that has seen a dramatic increase in the population born outside the United States. But in 2007 the percentage of highly skilled workers overtook that of lower-skilled workers. The trend reflects a fundamental change in the structure and demands of the U.S. economy, which in the past decades transformed from an economy driven by manufacturing to one driven by information and technology. The report also offers a new perspective on the national immigration discourse, which tends to fixate on low-skilled, and often illegal, workers.
“‘Too often the immigration debate is driven by images on television of people jumping over fences,’ said Benjamin Johnson, executive director of the American Immigration Council, an immigrant advocacy organization.
“‘The debate has been stuck in the idea that it’s all about illegal and low-skilled workers.’” [Links in blockquotes in original]
The obvious propaganda intent: to imply “Hey, look, we need more high skilled, not low skilled”. But the real point is: Too many immigrants of all kinds!
Fortunately, the story quoted someone who could finger the facts:
“Steven Camarota, director of research at the Center for Immigration Studies, an organization that advocates for tighter immigration restrictions, said the report raises other concerns. ‘It seems, based on this and other studies, that we’ve got an oversupply of highly skilled workers coming into this country,’ he said, adding that the study’s findings were not surprising. ‘New college graduates are faring very poorly on the labor market, and what the report is telling us is that we’re bringing in a high number of workers to compete with them.’
Thanks, Steve!
But with the Administration bleating about its concern over jobs, and when last week’s jobs report of new hires were merely 54,000 with half coming from McDonald's-type posts, too many immigrants of whatever classification are still too many! (In fact, the study also found that“half of highly skilled immigrants in the United States are working in jobs for which they are overqualified.”)
With official unemployment at over 9% and real unemployment likely over 15%, the importation of almost two million legal and illegal immigrants per year boggles my mind. It must seem crazy to our citizens if they truly realized what was happening.
And, despite the MSM, many of them do. Their kids can’t get summer jobs, an increasing number of American high school and college and advanced degree graduates are having a hard time getting employed, and the people who are employed are not in a position to bargain for appropriately higher wages, since they live in fear of being let go.
Silicon Valley billionaires constantly urge us to approve more H 1-B visas. Maybe...

For more ...

Thursday, June 16, 2011

US Payroll Report for May Likely Dominated by McJobs


     I don't think is what we expected for an economic recovery.
  ------lee     

Updated: Monday, 30 May 2011, 2:42 PM EDT
Published : Monday, 30 May 2011, 2:42 PM EDT

     (NewsCore) - WASHINGTON -- For more than two decades, the term "McJob" has been used as code word for low-paying, low-skilled employment.
      But the May payrolls report, due Friday from the Labor Department, likely will be influenced by hiring from McDonald's.
      On April 19 — about a week after the government conducted its survey for the April jobs report — the hamburger chain ran a promotion designed to hire 50,000 workers. In fact, the fast food giant hired 62,000, most of whom will receive just little above the federal minimum wage.
      Given that economists polled by MarketWatch expect May payrolls to slow to 180,000 from 244,000 in April, there is a possibility that McJobs will account for a big slice of the jobs created by the US economy during the month.
      Repeated messages left with McDonald's were not returned.
      Morgan Stanley economists estimate the McJobs effect at between 25,000 and 30,000 — and also noted that flooding in the Southeast may have subtracted a similar number of jobs.
      Economists also expect a slight improvement in the unemployment rate, to 8.9 percent from 9.0 percent in April.


Sunday, June 12, 2011

US must move beyond financial band-aids

The non-band-aid solution is end outsourcing, offshoring, and illegal immigration and watch Main street boom.  Pass that on to your all of your Congresspersons and to all the candidates.---rng

from The Financial Times
By Mohamed El-Erian
Published: June 3 2011 14:31 |
Last updated: June 3 2011 14:31

        Highly disappointing job creation and stubbornly high unemployment that is becoming more structural in character – this is the most striking conclusion from today’s highly anticipated US employment report. Combine it with this week’s other data releases, be it housing or manufacturing, and the bottom line is clear: the largest economy in the world has again hit a soft patch.
        Analysts are now scrambling to lower their gross domestic product estimates for this quarter, and not by a small amount. Having started as high as 4 per cent (annualised), many now suddenly find themselves heading quickly to the 2 per cent zone. And this is happening at a time when other parts of the globe are also slowing. 
       Rightly so, this will amplify the growth fright that has started circulating in political capitals in advanced economies only a week after the Group of Eight advanced economies congratulated itself on a strengthening recovery. In the process, the critical why/how/what questions will (and should) be raised: why is this happening; how could it occur after America’s huge fiscal and monetary stimulus; and what should be done?
      On the why, there will undoubtedly be mention of “exogenous” causes (eg Japan and the Middle East); and, when it comes to the systemic economic impact, some will even characterise them as “temporary and reversible”. We will thus be encouraged to “look through” these “transitory factors”.     
     We should not.
     Yes, the tragedies in Japan have disrupted global supply chains and reduced spending in the world’s third largest economy; and yes, the Arab spring has added a risk premium to oil prices, undermining both input prices and consumer spending. But the problem of meagre job creation goes well beyond these issues.
     The 2009-11 economic recovery has been unusually sluggish despite unprecedented attempts to stimulate consumer spending and investment, directly and through inflating asset prices. Indeed, outcomes have consistently fallen short of policymakers’ expectations. And, from a global perspective, the mix of policies in individual countries has grown into an increasingly inconsistent and incoherent whole.
     What about the how? In addition to sluggish growth, job creation is inhibited by structural factors. For too many years, the economy relied excessively on inwardly-looking sectors for its employment engines (eg construction, housing, retail and leisure). In the process, it eroded its edge in educating, training and retooling its labour force. This slippage has been extremely costly given national and global realignments.
     So what now? While the temptation is undoubtedly strong, policymakers are less able to engage in additional cash injections. Fiscal stimulus is off the table in the context of an increasingly polarised national debate concerning the country’s debt outlook; and another round of asset purchases by the Federal Reserve (“QE3”) faces political constraints and a worsening trade-off between its expected benefits and the costs and risks.
     The fundamental question today should no longer be whether weak economic data lead to more “active inertia” by policymakers. The numbers indicate that a stimulus-induced cyclical recovery is not sufficient to overcome structural impairments to sustained and large job creation. It is high time to move beyond financial band-aids if the goal is to address properly what is now an unemployment crisis.
     Unless policymakers respond to the obvious implications of the highly disappointing jobs report – that structural problems require a co-ordinated set of structural measures to improve decisively the functioning of the labour market, housing, credit and medium-term fiscal sustainability – the US will experience a series of unsatisfactory and socially-worrisome monthly employment reports of which today’s would unfortunately be just an example.

Tuesday, June 7, 2011

Employers hire, but unemployment rises?!


 @CNNMoney May 9, 2011: 2:05 AM ET

     NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- American employers and workers are still not seeing eye to eye on the job market.
     The government's highly anticipated April jobs report showed somewhat of a paradox Friday. Employers claim they added 244,000 jobs in April, but workers say they lost 190,000, pushing the unemployment rate up to 9%, from 8.8%.
     "We're still in this zone where we don't have these two surveys agreeing," said Heidi Shierholz, economist for the Economic Policy Institute. "Was April positive or negative? Our two major surveys don't agree on that simple fact."

     So why the disparity?

     The Labor Department compiles the jobs report based on two separate surveys. The first survey collects business and government payroll data. The second -- which is used to calculate the unemployment rate -- surveys American households.
     The two don't always move in lock step. Economists prefer to focus on the payrolls data because it's less volatile and has a larger sample size.
     But most people agree that a 9% unemployment rate is still too high. Why did the unemployment rate rise?
     Two major trends pushed the unemployment rate higher to 9% in April.
     The good news is that 113,000 people who had previously given up hope, started looking for jobs again, boosting the number of people counted as unemployed. These new applicants signal confidence in the economy, but the downside they also help push the unemployment rate higher.
     The bad news is that another 190,000 Americans also claimed they lost their jobs -- and economists are generally unclear of why this happened.
     "Other than month-to-month volatility, there are no underlying economic fundamentals that would explain that big of a drop," Shierholz said.
     So while employers said that they hired in April, workers reported that they still lost jobs. 


Find a job

     Some economists shrugged off the 190,000 drop, claiming the household survey is generally more volatile and less accurate than the payroll survey. Others claim that the one-month weakness comes after several robust months from the same report -- so the overall trend is still strong.
     Just last month, American workers reported they had gained 291,000 jobs, and in February, they said they had gained 250,000.
     "If you average out the data, you pretty much get the message -- we're seeing a strengthening trend in job growth this year," said Sal Guatieri, senior economist with BMO Capital Markets.
     Guatieri also points out the unemployment rate may merely be in for a slight correction. When it fell a full percentage point between November and March, it seemed too good to be true -- and perhaps it was.
    
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