Tuesday, September 21, 2010

Texas 2025: 'The Economy of a Third World Nation'

From Human Events
by Mac Johnson
02/06/2007

Just substitute President Obama for President Bush and nothing, absolutely nothing has changed.---rng

An economic problem largely created by an illegal population and policies that have been accumulated from past administrations stretching back as far as the Lyndon Johnson administration and senate legislation inspired by Teddy Kennedy. ---lee



Several weeks ago, Washington experienced one of its many manufactured minor brouhahas when Rep. Tom Tancredo referred to Miami, Florida, as a "Third World" city. Florida Gov. Jeb Bush and others responded sharply, apparently taking umbrage with Tancredo's demographic and economic assessment of the city that sometimes bills itself as "The Capital of Latin America" (which does sound much better than "The Capital of Third World America," I suppose).

Less notice was taken however, when Texas State Rep. Pete Gallego (Democrat, Alpine) observed last week that "by the year 2025, if we keep doing what we're doing now, Texas will have the economy of a Third Word country." No furor erupted. Although I'm sure that in 2025, if any non-Democrat observes that Gallego's prophecy has come true, an indignant furor will then erupt over his/her having the temerity to note the transition.

Gallego's comments were fair though, and occurred in response to the predictions of the State Demographer, Steve Murdoch, as cited in the San Antonio Express-News. Murdoch's forecasts indicate, in short, that within 25 years Texas will likely consist of an aging "Anglo"* population, educated but retired and dependent upon state social services and thus a net drain on the economy, juxtaposed with a majority Hispanic population, young and largely uneducated, and thus unable to contribute much to the economy.


By 2030, 16 to 20% of the state's population will be over 65 and most of these will be Anglo. Hispanics could represent as much as 53% of the population, with Anglos declining to only 30% --an overwhelming and sudden demographic change primarily driven by immigration, most of which has been illegal. In 1980, by contrast, Anglos were 66% of the population, while Hispanics were only 21%, with many Hispanics having roots in the state going back several generations and being as well assimilated as any other ethnic group.

The tsunami of illegal immigration that has remade Texas in a single generation has been disproportionately drawn from the poorest and least educated part of Central America's population. The results have been predictable: such a large and sudden influx has not been assimilated and is thus now recapitulating its poverty and lack of education in a second and third generation.

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